2017年10月,中国棉花协会棉农分会对内地12个省市和新疆自治区2927个定点农户进行了棉花采摘、交售情况调查,The results of the survey: Oct,Weather conditions in most cotton areas of the country are conducive to cotton picking,Speed up the progress;The west of the Yellow River and some cotton areas of Hanyin on the Jianghuai River are cloudy and rainy,It has some influence on the quality of cotton。By the end of October, the national harvest progress was 83.6%, up 9.81 percent;The sale progress is 65.7%, an acceleration of 12.02 percentage points。The average selling price of cotton in China is 6.8 yuan/kg, down 6.2%。
According to the weighted average cotton planting area of cotton farmers surveyed, the total cotton production is expected to be 550.420,000 tons, an increase of 11.5%, down 4% from the previous forecast.07 million tons;By region, the machine-picked cotton growth in northern Xinjiang is basically normal, and the shortage of pickers in southern Xinjiang and slow picking have a certain impact on the output, and the estimated output is 443.50,000 tons, an increase of 12.27%, a decrease of 40,000 tons from the previous forecast;In the mainland, the weather turned better in the middle and late, and the cotton growth was normal, and the output was expected to be about 1 million tons, an increase of 7.7%, unchanged from the previous forecast。
As of the end of October, cotton picking in northern Xinjiang has basically ended, and southern Xinjiang is still picking, according to the survey of the China Cotton Association, the progress of cotton picking in Xinjiang is more than 80%, which is 11 percent faster than the same period last year.9 percent, sales progress of 74.9%, a year-on-year increase of 13%.4 percentage points, farmers basically buy and sell, there is no reluctance to sell。Purchase prices remained stable with hand-picked cotton at 7-7.4 yuan/kg, machine cotton price is 6-6.4 yuan/kg, most enterprises adopt the strategy of selling and processing, the sales price is about 16000-16500 yuan/ton, after deducting the processing cost of 1000 yuan, the profit of processing enterprises is meager。From a regional perspective, southern Xinjiang mainly picks cotton by hand, cotton spits earlier, and the harvesting work started earlier than northern Xinjiang, but due to the special situation and regional restrictions, the shortage of flower pickers this year has slowed down the picking progress。In northern Xinjiang, machine-picked cotton is dominant, and the picking progress is accelerated as machine-picked cotton is gradually mined。
In the middle and late of the Yangtze River basin, the weather turned fine, suitable for cotton cracking and sprouting, and the picking progress was accelerated. As of October 31, the cotton picking progress was 71.04%, an increase of 1.Three percentage points;Because the weather is better, the quality of cotton has improved compared with the previous period, but due to the large number of rotten peach cotton caused by the early rain, the overall quality of cotton is not high, and the sale price is uneven, and the current price of cotton with good quality is mostly 6-6.6 yuan/kg, the overall sale price has declined。The average price of cotton sold by cotton farmers in the basin is 5.93 yuan/kg, down 10 percent year-on-year.70%。Because poor quality cotton cannot be stored for a long time, cotton farmers sell more quickly.The sale progress is 28.92%, an increase of 3.Six percentage points。However, the quantity of better quality cotton sold is not large, and cotton farmers are still watching。
The weather in the Yellow River basin was more suitable for cotton batting picking, and the picking progress was accelerated significantly. As of October 31, the cotton picking progress was 92.19%, an acceleration of 0.Six percentage points。Because of the poor quality of cotton in the early stage, the price is low, and the quality is improved in the later stage, the price has risen slightly, but the cotton farmers are reluctant to sell seriously, and the sale progress is slow, and the progress is only 18.8%, down 4% from a year earlier.Two percentage points。Among them, there is no cotton purchase in Henan Province, only a small part of the sale for wadding cotton, the number is limited, and the province's sale progress is only over 5%。The average price of cotton sold by cotton farmers in the basin is 6.65 yuan/kg, down 6.07%。